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Guerrilla Capitalism is about…
Going on a over a decade faux recovery, we are now in a scenario where central banks are essentially trapped at or near the zero bound. Market signalling is dead, fundamentals don’t matter. Markets are remaining irrational longer than anybody who seeks to eschew the “New Economy” Kool-Aid can stay solvent.
What does the contrarian minded, historically aware, rational value/Austrian minded investor do? Find out here.
The other side of interest rate suppression and financial repression is 10+ years of Cantillon Effects, where new money benefits those who receive it first, leading to an Everything Bubble where financialization and consolidation squeezes out real businesses and the middle class.
It can’t last forever and after it ends it’ll be the real businesses with real models who survive the fallout. Here we talk about being one of them.
It’s hard to imagine that socialism, “The Failed Idea That Never Dies”, is back with a vengeance and enjoying a newfound vogue among the mainstream press and even the political elite.
Make no mistake, this movement has traction and it’s gaining momentum. As always, flame out and crash in a heap ignominious failure. Until it does, things will get worse before they get better, so we’ll look at ways to preserve wealth and property through this approaching dark era.
Jackpot Chronicles #3: The Great Bifurcation
This is part 4 of the Jackpot Chronicles: Four Post-Coronavirus Scenarios. Read the series here, or sign up for Guerrilla Capitalism here. "In the future there will only be one occupation: managing one’s wealth. And the majority of the population will be unemployed." - Me. The original working title for this installment of The Jackpot Chronicles was “Mandatory Poll [...]
The Jackpot Chronicles: When Tin Foil Hats Meet Radical Uncertainty
This is part of the ongoing Jackpot Chronicles, looking at four possible Coronavirus scenarios or lenses. The last instalment was “Force Majeure”, which posited a complete breakdown in seemingly permanent institutions. As it may turn out, these outwardly immovable edifices may not survive this economic collapse and be left out of “the new normal” that emerges out [...]
The JackPot Chronicles Scenario 1: Force Majeure
This is the second instalment of The Jackpot Chronicles: Four Possible Post-Coronavirus Scenarios. Force Majeure means: a chance occurrence or superior force that renders a contract unenforceable and frees all parties from their obligations under it. We are frequently told that there exists some manner of “Social Contract” to which we are implicitly bound by virtue [...]
Welcome to The Jackpot
William Gibson’s most recent novel Agency, describes a type of “many worlds” tapestry of a multiverse as it exists after a catastrophe called “The Jackpot”. The main character’s POV takes place from within one of these “stubs” as they are called, which for some reason forked off from the “real” Earth timeline sometime after the 2016 US election. Altho [...]